A methylated DNA classifier to identify prostate cancer with over 90% sensitivity and specificity
Background
High prevalence and low risk of progression have made it difficult to effectively screen and manage prostate cancer. Currently, elevated serum prostate鈥憇pecific antigen (PSA) testing is the gold standard screening tool for prostate cancer. Men with a positive PSA test undergo an invasive prostate biopsy to obtain a definitive diagnosis. However, PSA testing has a false positive rate of over 75% and a positive predictive value of approximately 25%.
In the United States alone, 4.7 million men are identified each year as having elevated PSA levels. Of these men, 1.3 million are recommended to undergo biopsy for prostate cancer, resulting in an estimated annual cost of $2.5 billion. Approximately two-thirds of men undergoing prostate biopsy have no tumor diagnosed due to the high false positive rates of serum PSA. These unnecessary biopsies come at a substantial cost to the healthcare system while also causing anxiety and trauma in patients. This invasive procedure exposes men to the risk of serious complications, including bleeding, infection, urinary incontinence, and erectile dysfunction.
Thus there is a significant need for a more accurate noninvasive biomarker to improve diagnosis and reduce the number of unnecessary biopsies for prostate cancer. As a result, numerous studies have been conducted to investigate the use of messenger RNA, microRNA, genetic mutations, and prostate鈥憇pecific proteins as potential biomarkers. However, prostate cancers typically do not possess many informative biomarkers in these categories.
Instead, aberrant DNA methylation may be a superior substrate for biomarker discovery in early prostate cancer. In contrast to the above cancer鈥憇pecific DNA methylation alterations are highly prevalent in prostate cancer. While research in this area is growing, most research efforts to date have focused broadly on describing the overall epigenetic landscape of prostate cancer. Few studies have validated their results or focused on making methylation鈥慴ased classifiers for clinically important outcomes.
Technology Overview
Queen鈥檚 researchers used real鈥憈ime methylation鈥憇pecific PCR (qMSP) assays targeting 15 DNA methylation alterations which had been validated in multiple previous reports. Each locus was tested individually and in combination with other loci to determine its accuracy as part of a compact multigene biomarker, as multigene biomarkers are superior to single鈥慻ene tests.
The GAS6/GSTP1/HAPLN3 was the best multigene model, showing sensitivity of 94% and specificity of 93% in the validation dataset1 (Figure 1). The three鈥慻ene model also showed a significant improvement over univariate approaches, as none of the univariate classifiers had both sensitivity and specificity of above 90%.
A) An ROC curve of our three-gene classifier is shown, along with its AUC, sensitivity and specificity. Using the closest top-left method, we identified the model threshold of 0.917 for this three-gene model, which produced the specificity and sensitivity of 92% in the training set. B) This binary classifier was tested on the validation dataset, and the classification of the benign and cancer samples is shown in blue and red, respectively. A red horizonal line is also plotted showing the model threshold from Fig. 3A, and only 14 out of 242 samples from the validation dataset were misclassified, showing error rate of < 6%.
This degree of sensitivity and specificity would represent a remarkable improvement over the current commercially-available tests (Table 1). For example, the Progensa PCA3 assay is an FDA-approved diagnostic test for use in men over 50 with a previous negative biopsy result. This test has been found to have a sensitivity and specificity as low as 77.5% and 57.1%, respectively2. It is also notable that, similar to other commercially鈥慳vailable tests such as the Prostate Health Index (PHI) and ConfirmMDx, the PCA3 assay is only used after a biopsy has been conducted. While these tests may provide additional clinical insight, they do not reduce the number of unnecessary prostate biopsies.
A highly sensitive and specific urine or blood test could avoid hundreds of thousands of unnecessary biopsies each year. Upon validation of the three鈥慻ene classifier in urine samples, this test could be used to identify a significantly smaller group of men who would be appropriate candidates for biopsy.
Benefits
- Non鈥慽nvasive test with over 90% specificity and sensitivity
- Reduction in the number of unnecessary biopsies based on PSA screening
Applications
- A non鈥慽nvasive diagnostic test for prostate cancer with high specificity and sensitivity
- The test could be used to select a significantly smaller population of men who should undergo biopsies
Opportunity
Preclinical Development/seeking exclusive licensee, research collaborator or venture investment.
Patents
- Filed PCT Patent Application WO 2020/069610 A1 "Prostate Cancer Biomarker Assays"
- Filed Canadian Patent Application CA3115657 "Prostate Cancer Biomarker Assays"
- Filed US Patent Application US17/281809 "Prostate Cancer Biomarker Assays"
IP Status
Patent application submitted
Seeking
- Licensing
- Seeking investment
- Development partner
Posted/updated
February 15, 2021 / October 2, 2023 (updated patents)